Tuesday, September 16, 2008

Majority may elude Conservatives: polls

I still think a Conservative majority is highly unlikely!

OTTAWA (Reuters) - As Canada entered the second week of its federal election campaign, opinion polls showed the likely outcome of next month's vote would be another Conservative minority government.

Recent surveys show the Conservatives below the 40 percent level of popular support seen as necessary to win a majority of seats in the House of Commons, ahead of the October 14 election.

A rolling Harris Decima poll released on Monday by Canadian Press put the Conservatives ahead of the Liberals 38 percent to 27 percent. On Sunday the poll had the Conservatives ahead 40 percent to 26 percent.

It sees the leftist New Democrats at 16 percent, the Green Party at 9 percent and the separatist Bloc Quebecois at 8.

An Ekos automated telephone survey conducted Friday through Sunday put the Conservatives at 35 percent, the Liberals at 25 percent, the New Democrats at 19 percent, the Greens at 11 percent and the Bloc at 9.

"The Conservatives continue to dominate this election, but this is as much a tribute to the Liberals' weakness as it is to Conservative strength," Ekos President Frank Graves stated.

"The Tories have lost the powerful momentum they had in the period right before the (election was called), and they are now below what they would probably need to win a majority government."

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