I'd cheer these results (see graph for Ontario on the right) but it is obvious the electorate is not certain how it will go; it's far too early to say this is a trend. I suspect the results will continue to move around for a while but think we will not see anyone running away with this election.
That said, the Conservatives have not run the smooth campaign I expected -- perhaps because, as the government, they are under a microscope and (in thruth) because the relations between the PMO and the media have been awful.
Conservative support in Ontario battlegrounds slipping
A solid Conservative lead in Ontario's 20 key Battleground 2008 has slipped through the party's fingers in the second week of the campaign, according to the latest results of nightly polling by The Strategic Counsel.
The latest Battleground 2008 poll, conducted for CTV and The Globe and Mail, shows the Conservatives are having a rocky ride in these key ridings during the campaign:
The latest Battleground 2008 poll, conducted for CTV and The Globe and Mail, shows the Conservatives are having a rocky ride in these key ridings during the campaign:
a start of 41 per cent (Sept. 4-6)
a high of 45 per cent (Sept. 9-13)
and now a dip to 35 per cent (Sept. 15-17)
And for the first time in this campaign, the Liberals are in the lead with 37 per cent support in the Ontario battleground ridings, having started the campaign at 29 per cent (Sept. 4-6).
The NDP is at 19 per cent in this latest poll, and the Green party is at 10 per cent.
"A week ago, Conservatives had these ridings in the palm of their hands," pollster Peter Donolo told CTV News. "Now it's slipping through their fingers."
And in Quebec, the Conservatives are failing to make the inroads they will need to form a majority government.
The Tories are essentially in a three-way race with the Bloc Quebecois and the Liberals, while the NDP and Green Party are showing greater strength than in the 2006 election.
In the 15 chosen battleground ridings in Quebec, the Conservatives have 27 per cent support, the Liberals 26 per cent, and the Bloc are at 26 per cent. Conservatives have dropped five points since the start of the campaign on the Sept. 4-6 poll, but are still ahead of their 2006 election results of 23 per cent.
If these numbers hold, the Bloc could possibly pick up seats on Oct. 14, especially in some ridings in Montreal.
1 comment:
"New Poll Results -- Tory Support Softens"
You may have over looked these polls here,here and here. There was a poll done here in Quebec but it is in french if you want.
Post a Comment