Yes, they are just a snapshot but they seem to be suggestive. Especially in light of the attack ads -- maybe no one is watching? Or maybe it's obvious they are bogus? In any event, one thing does seems clear -- there is little public support for an election right now.
New polls show federal Liberals with narrow lead
National Post
Saturday, Jun 6, 2009

The federal Liberals hold a narrow lead over the Conservatives, but neither party has a good chance of winning a majority government in a new election, according to two polls published on Saturday.
...
A Nanos poll showed the Liberals with 37% likely voter support, compared to 32% for the Conservatives, while an Ipsos Reid poll put the figures at 36% to 33% in favor of the Liberals. Both polls are accurate to within 3.1 percentage points, 95% of the time.
"Support for the federal Liberals continues to incrementally trend upwards," Nanos said in a statement, noting that support for the Liberals was up from April's 36%, while support for the Conservatives was down from 33%.
...
The Ipsos poll showed a large majority of Canadians -- 68% -- saw no need for a new election at present and that just over half thought the nation was "headed in the right direction," despite a deep recession and political bickering on how fast to spend billions of dollars in economic stimulus.
The Nanos survey showed support for the left-wing New Democrats at 16%, up from 15% in April, while Ipsos Reid put support for the New Democrats at 12%, down from 14%.
James Morton
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3 comments:
When is there EVER a public appetite for an election?
The amount of Canadians who favour an election NOW is MORE than the amount who said in polls they favoured an election when Harper called it. Didn't affect Harper's results in the slightest.
Questions like "do you think an election based on EI is a good idea" are useless questions anyway since the real reason the government would be brought down before summer is their already extremely long and staggering record of incompetence since the time they were re-elected.
Very true. Polls said the same thing when Harper called the last election. I have noticed that it's a question that always garners a "No" majority response. I think elections are hard on the psyche.
It's interesting, because you say there is little support for an election, but your little sidebar poll shows there is.
Anyway, I agree that there is little support for an election, and recent polls have indicated as few as 32% would support it, far less than the nearly half of Canadians in June of 2008.
It would probably also accomplish nothing as well, even if the Liberals did manage to win a minority government, although it could be argued that the NDP and Bloc would turn it into a de facto majority.
I think if an election were called on the current state of affairs, the Conservatives would reverse the polling through the campaign trail, but probably reduce their seat totals and bring together a much closer seat totals and another small minority Conservative government.
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