Thursday, July 30, 2009

Recent polling results

From the Toronto Star:  

Summer poll could cool talk of election

July 30, 2009

Tonda MacCharles      

...
A survey by Angus Reid Strategies for the Toronto Star shows the federal Liberals with 34 per cent support and the Conservatives with 33 per cent – a statistical dead heat. The result is a warning for any party thinking of plunging into a fall election: No wind of change is blowing across Canada.

The poll shows the shaky economy is still voters' top concern, despite a declaration by Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney that the recession is over, and no party's leader has clearly won the trust of a majority of Canadians on the issue.

...
Conducted Monday and Tuesday, it shows public approval for the opposition Liberals stands at 34 per cent – an increase of four points from two weeks earlier.

The governing Conservatives' support held at the same level as two weeks ago at 33 per cent. The poll of 1,012 people has a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points, which means the two parties are in a virtual tie.

The NDP was at 16 per cent support, down two points. The Bloc Québécois was at 10 per cent and the Green party 7 per cent.
...

"What we have seen in the summer is that Ignatieff's numbers have come back down to earth a little bit," said Jaideep Mukerji, a spokesman for the polling firm.

 ...

"With the numbers as they are, clearly no party is in a position to get a majority, and neither party seems to be able to get a clear advantage over the other," said Mukerji.

...
James Morton
1100-5255 Yonge Street
Toronto, Ontario
M2N 6P4

416 225 2777

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

"No wind of change is blowing across Canada."

In the age of identity politics, when people vote according to race, to gender, and to sexual orientation, this doesn't surprise me. People no longer have beliefs or ideologies, they have selfish wants based on their identity and those wants don't change very much with events.

Lee Kwan Yew, no white supremacist he, was right: you cannot have democracy in a multi-ethnic state. It just doesn't work, and there is ample data to support that.

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