EKOS is often an outlier but the numbers, and the trend, is concerning. That said, my sense is there is no election until next year and a lot can happen (will happen) before then.
James Morton
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9 comments:
Why is EKOS an outlier?
I have been watching the Polls for months and EKOS has not been ahead or behind the curve.
Ispos Reid broke early the big lead for the CPC.
You can check and filter by company and timelines of Polls.
http://canadanewsdesk.com/polls/?p=All&t=All&l=&e=&n=All
Cheers
Ya, EKOS hasn't been the outlier on these numbers nor were they the first to start publishing numbers like this. Their numbers are consistent with every other poll out there for the last two weeks or more. Ignatieff is tanking ... big time.
"...a lot can (and will) happen before then."
With the way things have played out so far, I'm not looking forward to next year.
The installation of Iggy was a monumental mistake, next.
Give us the leadership race we were suppose to have!!!
Once upon a time, we had a really good prime minister, named Jean Chretien.
Then CTV and Global and the rest forced him out, getting the more conservative Paul Martin elected, and Canadians voted him out.
Then there was the mistake that was Stephane Dion, and then CTV and Global and the rest got another compliant conservative, Michael Ignatieff, elected Liberal leader.
Canadians are rejecting him too. We don't want a conservative Liberal leader; it's bad enough having a conservative Conservative leader. We want a Liberal leader who will protect social programs, ensure public health care, say the right things on the environment and foreign aid, and govern prudently.
In other words, everything Ignatieff hasn't been thus far.
We worried about Ignatieff being out of the country for so long not because we think he became less of a Canadian but because in that environment he has completely lost sight of was liberalism is for a Canadian. He has failed to see, for example, the things that made Chretien so popular - we knew he would play ball with business and conservatives, but that he was a street fighter and a scrappy populist who wouldn't let us down. And he never did.
Ignatieff sounds like he wants to bring our social programs into alignment with the U.S. Seriously. Not. Good.
Unless Ignatieff launches some kind of campaign to convince people he's a LIBERAL, not a Conservative plant, he's toast. Seriously.
And we'll end up with a Tory majority because the Liberal vote stayed home and the Tories - sensing blood - made the most of a 49 percent electoral turnout.
Ignatieff can't become Obama - maybe Gerard Kennedy can, if given the chance - but he can reinvent himself. He'll have to spend some money, and get out of Ottawa, and hit Main Street. Now. Not in December, not in April, now.
It's the last chance for the Liberals - they might not survive over this winter.
Downes it is much bigger than changing leaders.
I left the Liberals over the John Nunziata GST budget vote.
You should look at the McGill study and look at the electoral map.
I think the last chance for Ignatieff has come and gone. G Kennedy would be great. But whatever, unless Ignatieff is dumped before December he'll be the guy leading the party in the next election. Let's see how many more stupid things he can do between now and then.
Well, Chretien was all hot air, Trudeau was worse, Iggy and dat udder guy are pathetic, so.............excellent! bring on a Conservative majority.
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