Monday, October 26, 2009

Polls

The polls are a concern; my own sense is that once our policies are in place the numbers will change significantly.

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The Ipsos Reid poll suggests that, last week, the Liberals would have ... 25% of support among all Canadians.
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Ipsos found 40% of survey respondents said they would vote Conservative. ...

... the Conservatives appear to be surging in Ontario, opening a nine-point lead -- 41% to 32% -- over the Liberals.

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Nationally, NDP support remained stable through the month at 13% and the Green Party has the support of 11% of voters, an improvement of three percentage points since Ipsos Reid last polled Canadians in early October.
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The Conservatives and the Bloc Quebecois seem to have benefitted most from last week's political back-and-forth.

In Quebec, the Bloc Quebecois is the choice of 42% of voters; the Liberals are at 22% and the Conservatives at 18%.

15 comments:

Anonymous said...

"The polls are a concern; my own sense is that once our policies are in place the numbers will change significantly."

You are clearly getting desperate James, you're party has done nothing but regurgitate the same old tired out policy refrains ever since 1993 and when the LPoC had a chance to do something to implement them they instead did nothing, except of course line their own pockets with taxpayer cash.

Top Can said...

I'd have to agree with Anon here. The past few policy initiatives spouted by Ignatieff seem to be a repeat of past Liberal policies that were rejected by Canadians. As a Liberal, I keep waiting for something new from our leader, but I have yet to hear any.

Isn't this the guy who taught at Harvard and was a renowed journalist? Why doesn't he use that part of his resume to develop his political identity?

Platty said...

And we will all sit back and watch the Liberal numbers fall even further down into the abyss as Canadians see that the latest Iggy faux scandal, of Conservatives spending of the stumulus money, is just that, all Liberal hot air.

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Anonymous said...

Did the poll indicate how many voters were undecided? A lot of things can happen during an election campaign. All it takes is for the the non-voters to lean on the Conservative side next time around to get... another minority government of some sort. Personally, I'll be betting on a perfect 120/120 split between the Liberals and Conservatives just for kicks.

Michael Ignatieff's problem is that he has no political credibility. I've met plenty of academics who took a political stance on certain issues based on their work and went out to do something about it. I don't know what Michael Ignatieff believes in or what he's ever done to stand up for his beliefs.

LMA said...

I agree that the credibility of Ignatieff and the trustiworthiness of the Liberals is a concern to voters. Policies that are "in place" may not be followed. As an example, the Liberals last week sided with the Cons to send the NDP Climate Change Accountability Act back to committee, pretty well ensuring that Canada will have no climate change targets in place for Copenhagen in December. This despite the fact that this bill set forth the same GHG reduction targets that the Liberals adopted at the June convention, i.e., a reduction of 25% below 1990 levels by 2020 and 80% by 2050. This type of backtracking does not inspire voter confidence.

Anonymous said...

Start taking credit for the stimulus money. It was the Cons who said the opposition forced them into deficit. Lay claim to the growth it's creating.

Since our debt/gdp is still quite low, announce High Speed Rail, funded by Feds and Provinces.

Expand University and Vocational training programs, with emphasis on jobs of the future.

Announce real Pension reform.

Anonymous said...

Why hasn't Michael Ignatieff shaken up his own Staff?

He has placed his leadership team in all the highest positions in his office. He has not placd a single Rae supporter around him. Even Chretien and Martin knew better than this and they were not life long pals.

Michael needs to shake up his office before he starts losing caucus support.
How long does Alf Apps and Ian Davey think an MP who is going to lose their seat becasuse of their Leader is going to keep quiet??

James C Morton said...

Desperate? No, but concerned yes. I do think that we need to announce a platform of solid policies; and those need to be thought out properly, sensible and not rushed. And liberal!

Anonymous said...

Liberals are just not paying attention. They have become a hollow vessel with the wind blowing through, making alot of noise, but about nothing. It really does seem like all they care about is getting back in power, by any underhanded means possible. Since being ousted, where is the evidence of any kind of major re-vamping, democratically making changes, and really listening from coast to coast. NOT GETTING DONE. Canadians are not as naive as the elite Liberal leaders may think, and we haven't forgotten what a real scandal looks like. Do some real work folks. And p.s., as a woman I cringed with discomfort at that Pink Book. This is NOT the 60's. I raised 3 daughters to NEVER think they weren't equal competitors, they would be stunned by the notion of a "pink book womens strategy" if they weren't too busy with their dynamic careers to notice.

CanadianSense said...

James a single poll means nothing and campaigns matter *Good News

Bad News

For the last four weeks, MI declared and forced another examination of his party and his leadership the Polls went south FAST and deep. Time is up!

Jeff Jedras wrote an honest and scathing Post on Feb 27-28, 2008 regarding the party.

In nearly twenty months what has transpired differently. Read his post it should be a reminder on how and why to the current state of affairs.

We deserve better.

Anonymous said...

Liberals gave up on their progressive side when they canceled the leadership race and appointed Ignatieff. I'm one of those voters you lost as a result. I don't like Ignatieff and I won't vote for him. Here's what I'd like to know Morton: Why did the Liberal Party believe a pro-Iraq war candidate whose position on torture is at best fuddled would be able to keep the Liberal base and attract voters beyond that base?!? I'd love to vote Liberal again next time, but not with Ignatieff!

Anonymous said...

my own sense is that once our policies are in place the numbers will change significantly.
Funny how some of the most vocal Iggy fluffers said that there should not be any Liberal policies announced until the election.

I'd say that Iggy has surrounded himself with inept handlers (Hi Warren!) and miscalculated everything.

The shift of the Liberals to the right was misguided, his putting the government on probation a joke. Iggy is, for the most part, spent. Time to jettison the trash and start anew.

Anonymous said...

we need to announce a platform of solid policies; and those need to be thought out properly, sensible and not rushed. And liberal!
That would mean that the Liberals stop blindly following what pro-Isreali policy is floated. I don't think that Warren and the Cherniaks would like that.

Between Iggy and Harper, there is very little difference.

wilson said...

The writting was on the wall for Liberals, when every Lib MP signed onto the Coalition of Losers.

When Libs saw no way to win government,
they attempted to steal it.

I do think that the history books will show that the formation of the Coalition of Losers was the point at which the LPC began it's decent.

A decade in the wilderness rebuilding the LPC,
or unite the left, a LPC no more?

Anonymous said...

Forming a coalition in a minority government is hardly stealing. I didn't support the deal signed with the Bloc, but Harper needs to take Poli Sci 101 before he starts telling his chorus of supporters that the Liberals tried to steal the government.