Thursday, November 12, 2009

EKOS Poll

As of Nov 11, 2009

Conservatives: 36.6 (-0.8)
Liberals: 26.6 (-0.2)
NDP: 16.8 (+0.5)
Green: 11.2 (+1.2)
Bloc Quebecois (in Quebec): 35.6 (-2.0)
Undecided: 16.6 (+0.6)

I am somewhat surprised at the undecided -- it's not that large.

11 comments:

Anonymous said...

Peace and security in our times? 2 Kings 20 12-13 Shortly after this, Merodach-Baladan, the son of Baladan king of Babylon, having heard that the king was sick, sent a get-well card and a gift to Hezekiah. Hezekiah was pleased and showed the messengers around the place—silver, gold, spices, aromatic oils, his stockpile of weapons—a guided tour of all his prized possessions. There wasn't a thing in his palace or kingdom that Hezekiah didn't show them. 14 And then Isaiah the prophet showed up: "And just what were these men doing here? Where did they come from and why?" Hezekiah said, "They came from far away—from Babylon." 15 "And what did they see in your palace?" "Everything," said Hezekiah. "There isn't anything I didn't show them—I gave them the grand tour." 16-18 Then Isaiah spoke to Hezekiah, "Listen to what God has to say about this: The day is coming when everything you own and everything your ancestors have passed down to you, right down to the last cup and saucer, will be cleaned out of here—plundered and packed off to Babylon. God's word! Worse yet, your sons, the progeny of sons you've begotten, will end up as eunuchs.

Ted Betts said...

Have you noticed that over the last month, the Liberals have steadied and the Conservatives have started to slowly slide?

EKOS over the last month:

Oct 15 40.7%
Oct 22 38.3%
Oct 29 38.4%
Nov 5 37.4%
Nov 12 36.6%

Not a huge downturn, but these numbers, don't ever forget, are where they are DESPITE the massive multi-multi million dollar ad campaign for the Tories using taxpayer dollars ($3 million in September alone), despite the multi-million dollar "just visiting" negative ad campaign, despite spreading billions and billions of deficit financed dollars across the country (mostly to Tory ridings), despite Prime Minister Pepper and his Lonely Conservative Club Band phooto ops, despite all of the self-promoting hoopla surrounding the Olympics, despite difficulties and staff changes for the Liberals, despite running full-on by-election campaigns in three separate regions of the country.

Imagine where they would be if they did not abuse the public purse for their own benefit?

Frunger said...

Just add 1/2 the green numbers to the undecided category and you prob have a better number. 11%. Not likely.

Anonymous said...

Gosh, Ted Betts has been busy today posting his "analysis" everywhere he can. Good for him.

I looked through the numbers, and, not having Ted's spinning skills, I found the Liberals to be only doing well among new Canadians, and even there, it was by a very slim margin. (37.9 to 36.6) The Conservatives lead everywhere else.

As for the "dropping" Con numbers, it seems to be coming from BC (HST) and Alberta (Swine Flu and Stelmach?). Of course, whether the Cons have 65 or 58 percent in Alberta doesn't really matter; its still a sweep. They look pretty strong everywhere else, though.

Anonymous said...

Never before has the Liberal Party so consistently polled below 30%, even under Dion. My thanks to the Iggiots.

Anonymous said...

The installation coronation of Iggy has turned out to be the worst disaster in the history of the party, he has to go and a real democratic leadership convention must be held!

Ted Betts said...

Someone does not know their Liberal Party history very well.

One or two months of bad polls is nothing.

Anonymous said...

Yes, and the person who does not know their Liberal Party history very well is Ted Betts. Its actually been about one year or more of bad polling, just those who don't know their history seem to think the numbers four or five months ago were good - they were not. And the last month or two of bad polling is the worst sustained period of polling for the Liberal Party in its history. But of course Ted has proven his expertise and junk spin, not facts.

Ted Betts said...

Mrs. Brave Anonymous:

A few months ago, Iggy was polling at 37%. I consider that pretty good for a new leader.

During Mulroney's first year, Turner was down lower than we are now and for longer. Pearson even worse. Polling at the beginning of the century was sporatic and unreliable, but Laurier was just as bad nationally during WWI and Mackenzie was likely as bad or worse while he was Prime Minister.

Please don't pretend you know anything about history. Your statements reveal the truth.

Paul Raposo said...

As I wrote on Dan's blog, it took Harper 2 years to hit the magic 40%, but only 2 weeks to fall back to 36%.

Anonymous said...

Show me the polls that showed the Turner Liberals below 30% for two months or more. That's factually untrue. And a new leader usually shoots up in the polls. To say 37% was good shows how pathetic expectations have become in the Liberal Party.