CP [The Canadian Press]
OTTAWA_ A new poll suggests a seismic political shift is underway, with the Conservatives off balance and the Liberals gaining traction in important areas.
On the surface, The Canadian Press Harris-Decima survey suggests a dead heat between the two parties, at 32 per cent each. The NDP was at 15 per cent, the Bloc Quebecois at 10, and the Greens at nine.
But Harris-Decima chairman Allan Gregg says the real story lies below the headline numbers.
''What you have on the surface is a dead heat, but if you dig a little deeper, what you see is that the Liberals are clearly making some inroads into key, battleground constituencies.``
''They are emerging as the federalist default option to the BQ in the province of Quebec, they are ahead in Ontario for the first time since September.''
The Quebec data, over two weeks, show the Bloc with 38 per cent, the Liberals with 28, the Tories well behind at 13, the NDP at 11 and the Greens at eight.
For Ontario, the Liberals were at 40 per cent, with the Tories at 35, the NDP at 14 and the Greens at 10.
Gregg said the Liberals were also making headway in the important
905 area code ridings around Toronto.
''The ridings in the 905 that looked to be clearly in the Conservative win column are once again now competitive... And the Liberals are regaining their historic dominance with female voters_ a kind of bedrock of the constituency they have got to bolt together if they are going to have any chance to win.''
James Morton
1100-5255 Yonge Street
Toronto, Ontario
M2N 6P4
416 225 2777
www.jmortonmusings.blogspot.com
3 comments:
Well folks, it’s that time of year that the MSM dance around the crux of the story when it comes to political parties prowess in fund raising, so here are the straight goods, the annual totals for the year 2009;
Conservatives $17,770,477
Liberals $8,109,489
NDP $4,039,104
Greens $1,166,874
Bloc $834,763
*totals arrived at from the quarterly filings at the Elections Canada Finance page.
That just shows some folks were a tad disappointed at how Iggy might have handled things in the fall, and that Conservative partisans are more willing to give money.
That fundraising in Q4 has certainly not stopped the anger at Harper's proroguing or the subsequent Cons dive in the polls, but good try anonymous at trying to change the channel.
You actually believe in those polls Scott?
Fairy tales and unicorns too?
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