Thursday, February 4, 2010

Seat projections

New seat projections from EKOS pollster Frank Graves:

The Liberals would win 122 seats while the New Democrats would take 31. Together, the two parties would have 153 seats – just shy of a majority government in the 308-seat House of Commons.

The Conservatives, meanwhile, would win only 109 seats compared to the 145 seats they have now. The Liberals currently have 77 seats.

As well, Mr. Graves’s projections – based on the results of his poll of 3,406 Canadians surveyed between Jan. 27 and Feb. 2 – gives the Bloc 45 seats, the Greens come up empty and there is one “other” seat, that could be won by an independent in Quebec.

3 comments:

Paul Raposo said...

So, any idea what Harper will do now? He's thrown everything but the kitchen sink at Canadians to try and get a majority, and that ship is quickly sinking.

More character assassination against Iggy? Billions more in bribes to voters?

Stephen Downes said...

The irony is that if the Liberals trigger an election based on these numbers, they'll lose their advantage in the polls.

Same for Harper. He can't call an election without losing a bunch of seats for having done it.

Anonymous said...

If Layton decides to run for Mayor of Toronto I'd say any speculation on an election is a tad premature...