New Nanos poll

No Post Budget Bounce for Conservative

(Nanos Poll Completed March 12th 2010)

The latest research indicates that there is no post-Olympic, post-Throne Speech or budget bounce for the Conservatives. In terms of the Olympics, it's unlikely that Canadians associated positive national sentiment toward the Olympics with the Conservative government. Likewise, the "stay the course" budget had little in it to break the deadlock between the Conservatives and the Liberals. (34.7% for Conservatives and 34.6% for Liberals).

All federal parties remain steady. The NDP (17.8%), the Bloc Quebecois (7.7%) and Green Party (5.2%) remain steady.

Based on the current situation, an immediate election is unlikely in the short term unless there is a new political revelation which could rock the government or the Liberals. The next realistic election windows include the Fall or early 2011 prior to the next budget.

The detailed tables and methodology are posted on our website along with regional breakdowns. You can also register to receive automatic polling updates.

Ballot Question: For those parties you would consider voting for federally, could you please rank your top two current local preferences? (Committed voters only - First Preference)

The numbers in parenthesis denote the change from the last Nanos National Omnibus survey completed between January 29th and February 4th, 2010.

National Committed Voters Only (n=804)

Conservative 34.7% (-0.9)
Liberal 34.6% (+0.7)
NDP 17.8% (+1.4)
BQ 7.7% (-0.8)
Green 5.2% (-0.4)

Note: Undecided 19.6% (-2.3) of total voters surveyed

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