Tuesday, November 30, 2010

The most interesting trend from last night that I see is the total collapse of the NDP vote

A left(ish) Liberal friend wrote:

“The most interesting trend from last night that I see is the total collapse of the NDP vote. It may be that they are finally waking up to the fact that the only way to get a Progressive government is to vote Liberal(in ridings like Vaughan and Thornhill).

Of course I would be happy if the party moved slightly to the left, but it may also be the most strategic move when it comes to increasing our vote share. The 30% Conservative base will always vote Conservative. If we can win over more of those NDP and Green votes (and get some of them to come out who would otherwise just stay home)it changes the game significantly.”

Now, I think we have to remember the Green Party is not a leftist party (although many think they are). And as a “blue” Liberal I am comfortable with where we are now in terms of policy. But all that said my friend (who will remain nameless) makes a good point.

11 comments:

Rotterdam said...

Memo to Liberals:

A big win for Harper.
By-elections traditionally punish the party in power.

Anonymous said...

If I was batting 14% against a team batting 57% after seven by-elections, I'd be worried.

Anonymous said...

Sorry tards, Harpo still in a minority.

lance said...

From:
2008: Vicky Wilkin NDP-New Democratic Party 5,442 9.6

to:
NDP-New Democratic Party Kevin Bordian 673 1.7

Is about more than just the collapse of the NDP vote. It's a harbinger of a left leaning coalition.

The left in general decided to push one candidate, that's what liberals will like.

The coalition candidate _lost_. Liberals probably won't like that.

Cheers,
lance

Anonymous said...

Sorry tards, Harpo still in a minority.

Sorry tards, Iffy still in Opposition.

Robert McClelland said...

The more interesting trend is what happened to the 9,500 liberal voters who voted for Maurizio Bevilacqua in `08. Had they showed up Genco would have won by a landslide. That indifference by liberal voters should worry you more than the indifference of NDP voters in a riding where they aren't in contention.

Anonymous said...

The NDP loss in Winnipeg North says more about Judy Wasylycia-Leis than the NDP. She was a popular candidate and without her the riding was always up for grabs.

If the Libs had managed a byelection win in Alberta under any circumstances it would have been considered a huge victory.The Conservative win in Toronto is only slightly less so.

The message is that IF the Cons can find good strong candidates in GTA ridings they can compete in Toronto in those ridings.

Anonymous said...

Ignatieff is going to lose a whole bunch of Toronto MPs and its because he really isn't a whole lot different than Harper - Ignatieff is Harper-lite.

Brendan Kane said...

If Vaughan is in Toronto, how can Bevilacqua be Mayor? I thought Toronto already had a Mayor.

health quotes said...

The left in general decided to push one candidate, that's what liberals will like.Thank you for bringing such nice posts.

Anonymous said...

Brendan, nobody said Vaughan was in Toronto. You reading a different blog?